Odds are against Keldon Johnson and the San Antonio Spurs (18-52), who are a 9-point underdog when they hit the court against Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks (35-35) on March 19, 2023. A 245.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.
The Hawks are 3-1-1 against the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season.
The Spurs have a 10-12 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 9 points or more.
The two teams average a combined 15.5 fewer points per game, 230, than this matchup’s over/under of 245.5 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 239.6 points per game, 5.9 fewer than the point total for this game.
The Hawks’ average point total in outings this season is 234.9, 10.6 points less than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for San Antonio this season is 10.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Atlanta has compiled a 30-38-2 record against the spread.
The Spurs have a 29-41-0 record against the spread this season.
The Hawks have a -10 scoring differential, putting up 117.4 points per game (fifth in the league) and giving up 117.5 (23rd in the NBA).
The Hawks are 11th in the league at 43.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.7 their opponents average.
Atlanta connects on 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) while shooting 35.4% from deep (20th in the NBA). It is making 1.1 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.9 per game while shooting 35.3%.
The Hawks rank fifth in the league by averaging 114.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 29th in the NBA, allowing 116.4 points per 100 possessions.
The Hawks’ offense has been much better at home (117.6 PPG) compared to road games (117.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (116.3 PPG allowed) compared to road games (118.7 PPG allowed).
The Spurs have a -668 scoring differential, falling short by 9.5 points per game. They’re putting up 112.6 points per game, 24th in the league, and are allowing 122.1 per outing to rank 30th in the NBA.
The 43.5 rebounds per game San Antonio accumulates rank 14th in the NBA. Their opponents grab 44.5.
The Spurs hit 10.9 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.5 fewer than their opponents.
The Spurs score 107.3 points per 100 possessions (29th in league), while allowing 117.3 points per 100 possessions (30th in NBA).
San Antonio scores 113.9 points per game at home, and 111.1 away.
The active leader in points and assists for the Hawks this season is Young, who scores 27.0 points and distributes 10.1 assists per game.
Clint Capela contributes with 11.0 boards and 0.9 assists per game in addition to his 11.9 PPG scoring average.
The Hawks get 2.2 three-pointers per game out of Young.
Dejounte Murray picks up 1.6 takeaways per game, while Onyeka Okongwu records 1.3 rejections per contest.
Johnson tallies 21.7 points per game and also tacks on 4.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest.
This season, Zach Collins has a statline of 11.1 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.
Johnson hits 2.1 treys per game.
The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tre Jones (1.3 steals per game) and Collins (0.7 blocks per game).
Under (245.5)
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